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The Week in Polling: Canadians’ declining optimism for the future, a historic Conservative by-election win and refugee motivations

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People take in the Canada 150 celebrations on Parliament Hill in Ottawa on Saturday, July 1, 2017. Sean Kilpatrick/The Canadian Press.

This is The Week in Polling, your Saturday dose of interesting numbers from top pollsters in Canada and around the world, curated by The Hub. Here’s what we’re looking at this week.

Canadians expect the next generation to have a lower quality of life than they have today

Seven in ten Canadians say they believe the next generation will have a lower standard of living than today, reaching an all-time high since this metric was first tracked in 2012. Respondents between the ages of 18 and 34 are more likely (74 percent) to expect the next generation to have a lower standard of living than those aged 55 and over (65 percent).

While the poll did not directly explain why so many Canadians expect living standards to worsen, presumably, the Canadian economy might have been considered. In 2016, Canada’s economy ranked 17th in the world based on gross domestic product (GDP) at purchasing power parity. PWC projected the Canadian economy to dip to 18th by 2030 and then to 22nd by 2050, in which Canada is projected to be well below the global average in real growth per capita. Goldman Sachs predicted that Canada will be under the global average in GDP growth every year from 2030 to 2079.

Housing costs and income disparity are also a consideration. According to the Canadian Real Estate Association, homes in Canada are, on average, just south of $700,000 based on the most recent data available. In 2022, the last year of available data from Statistics Canada, the average total income for a working-age Canadian was $57,100 before taxes. The 63 percent of Canadians who don’t own a home have “given up” on ever owning one, according to a recent Ipsos poll.

‘This is a disaster’: Five Tweets on Democrats calling for President Biden to bow out of the race following his alarming debate performance

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U.S. President Joe Biden attends a roundtable session during a G7 world leaders summit, at Borgo Egnazia, Italy, June 13, 2024. Christopher Furlong/Pool Photo via AP.

Last night, CNN hosted the first debate of the 2024 U.S. Presidential election at its studios in Atlanta, Georgia. While the event featured theatrics, missteps, and mistruths from former president Trump, all eyes were on current President Joe Biden, who journalists, politicians, and citizens alike agreed came off as a startlingly feeble-looking and sounding leader of the free world. The President’s team said he was suffering from a cold.

Following an hour and a half of stumbling and fumbling, a CNN flash poll found that 67 percent of debate watchers believe Trump outperformed Biden. The President’s poor performance has sparked conversations across the country, with some calling on him to bow out and decline his likely Democratic Party nomination. These calls could have been expected from Republicans, but shockingly, many of them are now emanating from Democrat voters, politicians, and pundits.

Here are five tweets from those on the Left calling for President Biden to drop out of the presidential race.

Ian Bremmer shared a screenshot of the The New York Times website today displaying concerning headlines from writer Thomas L. Friedman, who is a friend of Biden’s, Frank Bruni, a long-time New York Times journalist, Patrick Healy, the paper’s deputy opinion editor, and Nicholas Kristof, a Pulitzer Prize-winning journalist and regular CNN contributor. Each writer either called for Biden to step down or expressed concern about his ability to lead America now and into the future.

John King, CNN’s chief national correspondent, said that minutes after the debate, “[A] deep, a wide and a very aggressive panic” spread through the Democratic Party. He also explained that there are now conversations happening among high-ranking Democrats that could result in them going to the White House and asking Biden to step down from the presidency to make room for a new nominee.

King said that Biden’s performance was received as “dismal” by prominent Democrats, some of whom are considering going public with their concerns.

Van Jones, a CNN analyst, political commentator, and former Obama advisor, said that even though he loves Joe Biden, worked for him, and thinks he is a good man and president, “he didn’t do well at all.” Jones said that Biden had a test to meet to “restore confidence of the country and of the base, and he failed to do that.”

He added that there is an option for a “different way forward” from Biden, if the president allows that to happen.

Andrew Yang, a former Democratic presidential candidate, contended that Biden is “a different guy in 2024” when compared to the Biden he debated in 2020.

Yang wrote on X, “Democrats who are afraid to broach the subject of Joe stepping aside are failing the country.” He also wrote that Joe Biden’s superpower is that he’s “a good guy who will do the right thing for the country” which In this case, is “stepping aside and letting the DNC choose another nominee.”

Edward Luce, an associate editor at the Financial Times, advocated for a new Democrat nominee to replace Biden after his performance against Trump. Luce said that “any number of potential Democratic nominees would be taking Trump down,” whereas Biden is letting him lie “through his teeth.” Luce also wrote on his X account that “If democracy is at stake (it is), Democrats need to act like they mean it. They have to be ruthless.”

At a rally held today, President Biden told an large crowd, “When you get knocked down you get back up.”

Following the Democratic National Convention in August, the election will less than three months away.