Need to Know: Pierre Poilievre earns his second chance

Commentary

Pierre Poilievre waves to the crowd at the Calgary Stampede parade in Calgary, Alta., July 4, 2025. Jeff McIntosh/The Canadian Press.

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Canada’s Conservative leader wins a seat once again

By Falice Chin, The Hub’s senior Alberta producer

Pierre Poilievre is headed back to Parliament, defying naysayers with a landslide victory in Battle River–Crowfoot that cements the riding’s reputation as one of the safest Conservative strongholds in the country.

On paper, the rural Alberta riding should have been as sure as frost in February. Damien Kurek’s decision to step aside so Poilievre could run looked like a formality at first—a quick pit stop to get the leader back on the road after his stunning loss in Carleton. But as the campaign unfolded, questions cropped up about parachuting in the leader, the cost of a byelection, and his thin personal ties to the region.

Independent challenger Bonnie Critchley gave those doubts a voice. The retired military veteran from Tofield campaigned with a no-nonsense style that vaulted her into the national spotlight. She drove the backroads, knocked on doors, and warned that “Monsieur Poilievre” was too wrapped up in his own ambitions to “give a rat’s backside” about Alberta’s short-grass country.

Critchley also forced rural issues onto the table, notably the “right to repair” fight—a sore point for farmers who can’t fix their own tractors due to what critics call “planned obsolescence.”

And then there was the return of the “longest ballot” stunt, which swelled the field to a record-breaking 214 candidates in total.

In the end, all that extra noise didn’t seem to make any difference.

For a while, though, nothing seemed guaranteed. With Mark Carney dominating the headlines, Poilievre pushed out of the limelight, no reliable polling to speak of, and a riding bigger than Costa Rica; there just wasn’t much to count on.

A game of over-under started to form among critics over whether Poilievre could hang on to Kurek’s massive 82-percent margin.

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