To close out the year, we’ve asked our contributors and staff to make a prediction about 2023. You would think, after last year, that we’d have learned our lesson about making predictions, but we couldn’t resist. Feel free to save these if you want to embarrass us with them later.
Sir John A. will be back in the news in 2023
By J.D.M. Stewart
The topic of history is always fertile ground for predictions. The subject is always with us, as it deserves to be. What will 2023 bring us from the past?
1. Sir John A. Macdonald will once again be in the news—this time as Canadians revisit the Pacific Scandal, one of the most notorious in the history of the great Dominion. One hundred and fifty years ago, in 1873, Macdonald’s government was forced to resign because it accepted campaign donations from shipping magnate Sir Hugh Allan. The resulting election ushered in Canada’s first Liberal government under prime minister Alexander Mackenzie, but Macdonald would make a comeback in 1878 and govern uninterrupted until his death in 1891.
2. Another Canadian institution will be celebrating its 150th anniversary in 2023, the Toronto Argonauts football team. The Double Blue will defend its Grey Cup championship from the past season, but the prediction is that the sharp minds at Maple Leaf Sports and Entertainment will fail to capitalize on the charisma of its star linebacker Henoc Muamba and miss the moment to rekindle the city’s moribund affection for the once-dominant franchise.
3. A final prediction for 2023 is that Library and Archives Canada, supposed leaders in the preservation and promotion of the country’s past, will continue to fail in this enterprise. Lacking in transparency, service, and leadership for Canada’s history, the past does not have a great future at LAC next year.
Someone has to say it: The Jays will win the World Series
By Jack Mitchell
The act of predicting glory for one’s favourite team is fraught with epistemological and ethical risks. Let’s say, for example, that I were to predict the Jays will win the World Series in 2023. Subjectively I want them to, of course; and objectively they have what it takes, since by signing Chris Bassitt we now have a super-strong rotation, complementing our terrific hitting and fielding. But if in fact they weren’t good enough, wouldn’t I picture them—to myself—as better than they were? Of course I would, and that would skew my prediction. Yet if they were indeed good enough, would I have the courage to admit it, defying the horror of jinx? I’d like to think I would. I know I would. In the end, all we have is the truth, and we must stand up for it, despite self-doubt, despite the personal cost. The Jays will win the World Series in 2023.
Wine producers will adjust to cash-strapped consumers
By Malcolm Jolley
The story of late 2022 has been that the post-pandemic party is over. Like the parents of teenagers who unexpectedly come home early from a weekend away, inflation and high interest rates barged into the living room, turned on the lights, and killed the stereo. So then, the story of 2023 must be the clean-up. But just as the hungover partygoer yearns on the morning after to return to normalcy, there may be some benefits to the arrival of more quiet times.
Locked up in our houses, and desperate to find pleasure in whatever was allowed, wine consumers were willing to be upsold, and the sweet spot of everyday retail fine wine seemed to rise quickly from $15 to $20 to $25 to $30 with every release of new wines. The old $19.95 middle went missing, and the selection of wines at that price point remained sparse as things opened up and the real party started.
That will change, as producers adjust to cash-strapped consumers over the next few months. In fact I see evidence on store shelves and email flyers from importers that it is already. Look out for better value from all over the wine-producing regions. Up comers will have to calibrate their premium labels and the famous terroirs will increase production of the second and third, more affordable, labels.
This prediction is, admittedly, walking a fine line between clairvoyance and wishful thinking. But if there’s an upside to whatever mess we’re heading into in 2023, it’s that we may console ourselves with better value wine.