Enjoying The Hub?
Sign up for our free newsletter!

‘Our current government hasn’t been heeding national security advice’: Former immigration minister Chris Alexander on how Canada vets immigrants—and how ISIS operatives may have slipped through the cracks

Commentary

Immigration Minister Marc Miller delivers remarks at a press conference in Ottawa, Dec. 21, 2023. Spencer Colby/The Canadian Press.

Significant questions are being asked of Canada’s security and immigrant vetting processes following the arrests last month of Ahmed Fouad Mostafa Eldidi, 62, and Mostafa Eldidi, 26, a father and son facing charges that include conspiracy to commit murder for the benefit or at the direction of a terrorist group—in this case, ISIS.

Reports have emerged that the pair were able to immigrate to Canada despite the elder Eldidi having participated in violence, including torture and dismemberment, against an ISIS prisoner. The assault was recorded on video and released by ISIS prior to the pair’s immigration to Canada.

Ahmed Fouad Mostafa Eldidi is a Canadian citizen while his son, Mostafa, is not.

Police claimed the father and son were “in the advanced stages of planning a serious, violent attack in Toronto,” before their arrest.

To better understand Canada’s immigration vetting process, Sean Speer, The Hub’s editor-at-large, exchanged with Chris Alexander, Canada’s minister of Citizenship and Immigration from 2013 to 2015, who offered his expert insight on how the pair may have slipped through the cracks without raising alarm.

SEAN SPEER: How does the Department of Immigration, Refugees and Citizenship draw on intelligence and national security analysis when judging the admissibility of an immigration applicant? Does the department have its own capacity or does it draw on the capacity concentrated in CSIS and other national security agencies? If the latter, what’s the mechanism or process for such analysis to be pulled into the department’s decision-making?

CHRIS ALEXANDER: The Department of Immigration, Refugees and Citizenship uses national security-related information to make decisions, but this information invariably originates with CSIS, the RCMP, or our trusted allies and partners that share such information with us. When an applicant has never before been flagged for national security-related concerns, then IRCC is relying on CSIS, relevant police services, and their international partners to ensure nothing new has come to light. Timelines are often short; resources are invariably stretched; and matching applicants to data generated by national security review across languages, alphabets, and administrative systems can pose challenges.

SEAN SPEER: What type of national security review is typically used for immigration applicants compared to more extraordinary cases? What’s the triage process for determining the level of national security review?

CHRIS ALEXANDER: Applicants for permanent residence receive a more thorough review than say, international students or temporary workers. Anyone with a background in police, the military, or security services will receive additional vetting, especially if they come from a country with a less-than-stellar human rights record. The country of origin and any other places where the applicant lived, studied, or worked are also taken into account: if any of these countries are theatres where significant terrorist or extremist groups operate, where wars, civil wars or other armed conflicts are underway, or where hostile intelligence services may be recruiting assets, then there will be additional vetting as well. The parameters for Canada’s national security vetting are always shifting as the threat environment evolves, and our assessments catch up (or fail to catch up) to fast-changing realities on the ground around the world.

SEAN SPEER: Based on what we know about this particular case, what might have happened such that this individual’s participation in an ISIS-related execution was not factored into his admissibility?

CHRIS ALEXANDER: The information on the file might have been incomplete. For sound operational reasons, those monitoring ISIS comms and participants in ISIS war crimes may not have made their information fully available to national security databases. Stove-piping still happens; delays happen. Names also get garbled: “credible” sources may have claimed this was not the same person. Mistakes are human nature. In addition, our national security machinery has shifted gears in recent years away from terrorist threats to focus more on China, Russia, and homegrown extremism—the flames of which are often fanned online by state actors that engage in large-scale disinformation and active measures, such as Russia.

SEAN SPEER: Is this a widespread problem in your view? To what extent does it suggest that there are others—perhaps many others—in the country with broadly similar backgrounds or past actions?

CHRIS ALEXANDER: Our system is not prone to widespread, systemic failures—it’s quite solid. But over the decades we have failed on several fronts. One example is the number of Iranian and Syrian regime officials—some with allegations of having committed terrible crimes in those countries—who somehow slipped through our vetting system. But the main challenge today is that the number of threats—from terrorist and criminal groups, as well as hostile foreign states—has grown significantly while our national security capabilities have failed to keep pace.

Add to this tension the unprecedented numbers of immigrants, temporary workers, international students, asylum claimants, and other visitors flowing into Canada over the past two years—roughly double the usual levels, with asylum backlogs rising rapidly—and you have a recipe for more frequent failures. For instance, over the period when Mexicans were coming to Canada visa-free, how many drug cartel operatives eager to open new routes into the U.S. came to Canada? We may never know. The same may be true for ISIS, representatives of China’s United Front Work Department, Iran’s Revolutionary Guards (IRGC) or Ministry of Intelligence and Security (MOIS), and even Hamas or Hezbollah, which have historically had quite robust networks in Canada.

As we have all observed to our dismay, our current government has not been heeding national security advice and, to put it very mildly, has not been vigilant on these issues over the past nine years. Our allies (particularly in the Five Eyes intelligence-sharing community) have noticed, and our reputation has been tarnished as a result.

SEAN SPEER: What, if any reforms, do you think should be undertaken to strengthen the process for assessing immigration applicants through an intelligence and national security lens?

CHRIS ALEXANDER: The key to successful national security review is rapid, continuous, skillful integration of available information. The right insights are out there, but they only shape immigration outcomes in the right ways when the data is well-organized, easily accessible, and properly brought to bear on decision-making. My guess is that those responsible for these issues have been run ragged in recent years: they need backup, a full review of our procedures, and (where necessary) modernization and integration of the relevant secure communication systems and databases.

We need to put sound national security practices back at the centre of our immigration policy—as well as our policy across government. In a world where all categories of threat actors are looking for the line of least resistance worldwide to launder money, move operatives, recruit new supporters, and disrupt democracy, Canada has become an easy mark in recent years. We need to restore our reputation for a best-in-class immigration and refugee programmes rooted in sound, reliable national security vetting. We also need to harden our defences, increase our military spending, and upgrade and broaden our national security capabilities to protect Canadians in general as well as the integrity of our immigration and refugee determination system at a time when hostile state and non-state actors have become more hostile almost across the board.

The Hub Staff

The Hub’s mission is to create and curate news, analysis, and insights about a dynamic and better future for Canada in a single online information source.

‘It’s important to acknowledge that there are all sorts of trade-offs’: Five takeaways from conservative intellectual Oren Cass on the economics of the New Right

Commentary

Republican vice presidential candidate Sen. JD Vance speaks during a campaign event in Reno, Nev., July 30, 2024. Jae C. Hong/AP Photo.

In a recent Hub Dialogue, Oren Cass, the founder and chief economist of leading U.S.-based think tank American Compass, joined host Sean Speer, The Hub’s editor-at-large, to discuss growing economic heterodoxy among conservatives on issues of free markets, global trade, and industrial policy.

In the age of Donald Trump, New York Times columnist, David Brooks, has referred to Cass and his heterodox economic views as  “the centre of gravity in American conservatism these days.”

During his Hub Dialogue, Cass spoke about challenges to conservative economic orthodoxy and his case for a new consensus focused less on GDP growth and more on the notion of human flourishing. Five of key takeaways from the conversation are set out below.

1. On the state of modern economics and human flourishing

“The economists are saying, ‘you know, hollowing out American industry and getting cheap stuff from China is good.’ How could that possibly be? You dig down far enough, and you realize that, actually, a very core assumption of modern economics is that the goal is consumer welfare. And in fact, the goal is to consume as much as you can while working as little as possible. I mean, if you think about kind of what the model of rational man says, in theory, that’s what optimization would be: how much can I consume while exerting how little effort?

And if that’s right, then, actually, you can build very quickly to things like ‘free trade with China is course, is great.’ But you, I think, also look at that and say, ‘that can’t possibly be right.’ I mean, put economic modelling or whatever to the side. Put all the empirical research to the side. There’s nobody with any real human experience who I think would take that seriously as a very good description of human flourishing.”

2. On the importance of manufacturing

“You know, manufacturing is the underpinning of productivity growth, for the most part, because this isn’t true of all services, but by and large, a huge part of a service economy, these are things that are very hard to scale. You know, I use haircuts as an example. It takes about as long to cut somebody’s hair as it did 500 years ago, probably a little longer now, if anything, given the demands of our styles. So how is it that we pay a barber whatever orders of magnitude more than we did? It’s not that the barber is technically more productive. It’s that he’s cutting the hair of much more productive people. And you see this over and over again, that where you really get the productivity growth at the core output level is in the use of materials, the use of automation, the use of engineering that allows us to make more stuff with less labour. And that, in turn, fosters so much of the prosperity that a community can enjoy.”

3. On market intervention and limited government

“I certainly support limited government and in many ways, I see what we’re proposing as expanding government’s role in some places, but just as quickly, if, especially if things go well, reducing it in other places. I mean the amount of regulation and redistribution that we need because we’ve said ‘we’re just going to let markets rip on the front end and not worry about workers’ is extraordinary. I would much rather have a tariff and need to do an awful lot less redistribution on the entire classes of workers that have been left behind as a result. And so, I think, you know, in my mind, the question is always ‘compared to what?’ Because in almost none of these areas is there some option of just ‘we do have brilliant technocrats who wisely decide to do nothing.’ There’s always a policy being made. The choice not to do something is also a choice that has to be made.”

4. On the trade-offs of economic growth

“I think it’s important to acknowledge that there are all sorts of trade-offs and that we actually have to be willing to make those trade-offs. And so you know, if you said, ‘look, this is going to lead to lower economic growth in the way that we’ve typically measured it, but on the other hand, it’s actually going to lead to sort of a better distribution of of of wealth and opportunity for communities, for workers and their families, and that’s sort of going to lead to everybody being better off in their own lives,’ that would be fine with me.

And I would also question how we’re going about measuring economic growth, in a sense. I mean, the funny thing about even the concept of economic growth is that it has become a question-begging exercise in mostly a fight over what we define as good. And so if what you’re saying is, ‘well, look, you know, people’s TVs aren’t going to keep getting as big as fast as before.’ That’s fine with me, and I think it would be fine with the overwhelming majority of people. And so, you know, I think those kinds of trade-offs are important to acknowledge.”

5. On forging a new economic consensus in the age of Trump

“Trump’s rise in 2016 was extraordinarily important as just a disruptive force. I think it showed how broken a lot of the old orthodoxy was. Politically, the old model was clearly not what people wanted. And substantively, there were clearly much more serious problems in the country than the GDP numbers might have indicated… But he doesn’t bring a sort of fully formed agenda for what comes next or how to solve these problems…

There’s a large set of folks in the U.S. Congress—Senator Vance, of course, one of them now on the Trump ticket, but also Senator Rubio, Senator Hawley, Senator Cotton, and the list gets longer than it used to be—who are sort of fleshing this out and developing legislation around it. They are quite clearly the future leaders of the party in terms of where momentum is headed.

And if you look away from elected leaders toward where the next generation of, you know, writers and analysts and people in every part of the conservative movement are, they are overwhelmingly thinking in these terms as well. I think there will be all sorts of ups and downs and bumps along the road, but our goal is really our mission statement. It is to change the economic consensus that undergirds policymaking and policy debate in the U.S. and that is good work that we can be doing, regardless of who’s in the Oval Office at any moment in time.”

The Hub Staff

The Hub’s mission is to create and curate news, analysis, and insights about a dynamic and better future for Canada in a single online information source.

00:00:00
00:00:00