This is The Week in Polling, your Saturday dose of interesting numbers from top pollsters in Canada and around the world, curated by The Hub. Here’s what we’re looking at this week.
The majority of Canadians view their personal finances to be “poor” or “very poor”
More than 50 percent of Canadians consider their personal finances to be “poor” or “very poor,” a statistic which has gone up by nine points since a similar Research Co. survey was conducted in January 2024.
Nearly two-thirds of Canadians, 64 percent, consider the current economic conditions in Canada as “bad” or “very bad”, while just over 30 percent see them as “very good” or “good.”
Moreover, just over a third of Canadians, 34 percent, expect the country’s financial standing to falter over the next six months. Only 15 percent believe that a recovery is possible, while 43 percent foresee no changes.
Most Canadians think adding Mark Carney to cabinet would not help the Liberals
For the past few months, there have been well-substantiated rumblings that former governor of both the Bank of Canada and the Bank of England, Mark Carney, could join the Liberal cabinet as finance minister, effectively replacing the sitting minister, Chrystia Freeland. In Canada, you do not need to be an elected representative to hold a ministerial portfolio. Carney could be appointed to the Senate and added to the Liberal cabinet from there.
The Liberals are in desperate need of a change following a historic Toronto byelection loss and with the Conservatives consistently crushing them in national polls. However, nearly 40 percent of Canadians feel that adding Carney to the cabinet would have no impact on the party’s standing amongst Canadians.
The federal Conservatives lead in Quebec
The Conservatives have edged out the Bloc Québécois in Quebec by one percent, at 31 percent of potential voter share, compared to 30 percent for the Bloc.
While this is a seemingly measly margin, it could mean a substantial boost for the Poilievre Conservatives come election time. As it stands today, 32 of 78 seats in Quebec are filled by members of the Bloc, 34 are Liberal, and only nine are Conservative.