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The Week in Polling: Kinew is Canada’s most popular premier, low optimism for urban home ownership, dead heat in swing states ahead of U.S. presidential election

Analysis

Premiers Doug Ford, Wab Kinew, Tim Houston and Francois Legault at a press conference in Halifax. Darren Calabrese/The Canadian Press.

This is The Week in Polling, your Saturday dose of interesting numbers from top pollsters in Canada and around the world, curated by The Hub. Here’s what we’re looking at this week.

Manitoba’s Wab Kinew is Canada’s most popular premier

The honeymoon phase in Manitoba continues as NDP Premier Wab Kinew polls as Canada’s most popular provincial leader. Kinew was elected just under a year ago, with health-care improvements as a top priority.

Behind Kinew is Alberta Premier Danielle Smith, the leader of Alberta’s United Conservative Party. At the beginning of November, UCP members will have their annual general meeting, where a vote on her leadership will occur. However, Smith goes into it with a whopping 85 percent approval rating among Albertans who voted for the UCP in the last election.

Smith is tied with Newfoundland and Labrador Premier Andrew Furey and British Columbia Premier David Eby. Ahead of B.C.’s election in October, recent polling shows Eby’s NDP neck-and-neck with John Rustad’s Conservatives.

In third-last place is Quebec Premier François Legault, the leader of the Coalition Avenir Québec. Legault was recently reported to have tried to persuade federal Bloc Québécois leader Yves-François Blanchet to vote with Pierre Poilievre’s Conservative Party in a non-confidence motion against Prime Minister Justin Trudeau. The vote failed, as the Bloc voted alongside the Trudeau government and Jagmeet Singh’s NDP.

Behind Legault is Ontario Premier Doug Ford, leader of the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario. However, despite his low approval rating, Ford’s party is first in provincial polling, leading the Ontario Liberal Party by 16 percent.

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