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Derrick Hunter: Politicians should recognize that entrepreneurs are essential to economic growth

Commentary

A core objective of every federal, provincial, and local government is to promote “economic development”, which is understood as the improvement of our standard of living through the creation of jobs, the support of innovation, the creation of wealth, and an overall better quality of life. Economic growth is more or less table stakes for officeholders who hope to be re-elected since a shrinking economy is never good news for the incumbent.

Consequently, it is hardly surprising that jurisdictions will compete ferociously to attract fast-growing companies. Just witness the frenzy over the announcement by Amazon in 2018 of their intention to create a second headquarters. Dozens of cities across the U.S. and Canada offered extraordinary incentives in the attempt to win the prize. Atlanta offered to build an exclusive airport lounge. Boston offered zero-interest loans to Amazon employees. Columbus offered to make exceptional efforts to reduce their “unacceptable” murder rate. All of this on top of billions of dollars of incentives, subsidies, and tax reductions that were merely the price to play.

Amazon is currently the fourth largest company in the world, measured by market cap. It didn’t even exist 25 years before it sparked the frenzy created by its HQ2 announcement. Of the ten largest companies in the world at the end of 2021, only Saudi Aramco and Berkshire Hathaway pre-exist the digital age. Half of them (Facebook, Alphabet, Tencent, Alibaba, and Tesla), still haven’t reached 25 years of age. We truly live in an age of remarkable disruption, but how many of these corporate behemoths will hold their place in the top ten 25 years from now?

History says, “not many.” Turnover among corporate leaders is nothing new. The Dow Jones Industrial Average has tracked the 30 largest U.S.-listed public companies since 1896. It has recorded 93 changes over the last 92 years as economic fortunes rose and fell. In fact, the current average length of time spent by companies now on the index is only 20 years.

The lesson here is one that we forget all too often in Canada; the greatest tool for economic development ever invented by man is entrepreneurship. The vast majority of new jobs are created by startup companies. While it’s tempting to join the chase to import entrepreneurial success by outbidding other towns and cities at great expense—and there is a role for that—perhaps communities would be better served in the long run and generate a better return on investment by de-emphasizing the bidding process and nurturing the next Steve Jobs, Bill Gates, Jeff Bezos, or Elon Musk from among those that already live there.

In Canada, approximately 12.5 million people, out of 19.3 million employed, work in the private sector. Another 2.6 million are self-employed. Thus, 78 percent of the Canadian workforce are either entrepreneurs or are employed in businesses that at one time were created by entrepreneurs. There’s no Shopify without Tobias Lutke, no Lululemon without Chip Wilson, no Barrick Gold without Peter Munk; these men were rock stars. On the other hand, it’s not just the ones that end up creating massive companies that matter; 98 percent of Canadian businesses employ fewer than 100 people. These are the folks that we all rely on to create the opportunities that build our tax base and improve our standard of living. In other words, to create economic development.

Economic development is what gives governments something to distribute. While we have attempted over the past few years to borrow and spend our way to prosperity, in the long run, an economy can only sustain expenditures that it can financially support through its tax base.

So then, if entrepreneurs are so essential to our general wellbeing as a society, should we not devise policy that treats them as such? The former minister of finance characterized them as tax cheats and applied punitive taxes which are complicated to calculate. Municipalities layer on expensive regulations and raise business tax assessments annually with little regard for the ability to pay. Two years into a historic pandemic, provincial governments apply punishing lockdowns and other restrictions with minimal warning, leading to painful inventory, payroll, and overhead expenses. The list goes on.

Sadly, while Canadian politicians routinely pay lip service to the importance of business, there are plenty of ways in which they simultaneously impede the ability of the business community to prosper. It’s almost as if they don’t understand what drives entrepreneurs and what conditions enable them to succeed. Then again, why would they? There are few entrepreneurs in positions of political leadership in this country. For example, the economic portfolios of the current federal Cabinet are led by ministers with backgrounds in journalism, social work, victim services, graphic design, and politics. The prime minister famously was a substitute teacher before embarking on his political career. These jobs may provide value to society, but they don’t offer much exposure to the unique difficulties of turning an idea into a going concern.

At a minimum, it would probably be economically beneficial for the country to have a few lawmakers that understood both the critical importance of entrepreneurs and the challenges of actually being one. We need to comprehend that opportunities always exist in periods of disruption, that identifying opportunities is a skill that can be acquired, and that having the courage to act is easier with the support of the broader community, starting with the genuine support of our political leaders through their policy prescriptions.

If we can’t turn entrepreneurs into politicians, perhaps we can work on building a culture that celebrates, appreciates, and encourages the value they provide. In time we might be able to focus less on luring outsiders and more on the much more cost-effective and impactful strategy of embracing and supporting the talent we already have.

Labour Market Insights: In-demand occupations in health care and Ontario’s labour market trends for December 2021

Commentary

As we move beyond the end-of-year holiday hiring spree, job postings are down and employment is up. How much of these numbers can be attributed to the COVID-19 pandemic’s ongoing influence on employment and the workforce? How do we compare at the start of 2022 relative to where we were prior to the pandemic? 

This month’s Labour Markets Insights attempts to shed some light on these questions. Our analysis is focused on where in-demand jobs and the employment numbers intersect. This analysis draws from Workforce WindsorEssex’s unique data source which covers job postings from across the province (excluding the City of Toronto and the far northeastern region).

The 10 most in-demand occupations in December 2021 compared to the previous month were as follows:

Graphic credit: Janice Nelson.

The top-10 in-demand occupations constituted just under one-third of all job postings (49,989 job postings or 30.7 percent) in the regions. The number of active job postings decreased by 19,415 in December relative to November for a total of 162,852, compared to 182,267 active job postings in November. This was a decrease of 10.7 percent across the regions between the two final months of 2021.

The occupational field of Home Support Workers, Housekeepers and Related Occupations appears higher on December’s list, although it saw just a one percent increase in postings from 4,421 total active job postings in November to 4,461 in December. Home Support Workers provide personal care and companionship for seniors, persons with disabilities, and convalescent clients and are employed by home care and support agencies, private households, or they may be self-employed.

Registered Nurses and Registered Psychiatric Nurses jumped from the 12th-most in-demand occupation for November with 2,709 total active job postings to the 9th in December with 3,251 total active job postings. This amounted to a 20-percent increase month-over-month for these positions. This occupation provides direct nursing care to patients, delivers health education programs, and provides consultative services regarding issues relevant to the practice of nursing.

Increases in job postings in these occupational fields can likely be attributed to an increase in the need for more staffing as COVID-19 cases grew in hospitals as well as to cover vacancies from staff unable to go into work due to contracting COVID-19.

Both Food Counter Attendants, Kitchen Helpers and Related Support Occupations and Cooks saw a decrease in job postings in December relative to November (with decreases of 17.6 percent and 16.7 percent, respectively). The decrease in job postings here is likely a result of the Ontario government reinstating some public health measures on December 18. These restrictions included limiting restaurants and bars to 50 percent capacity.

Looking at Statistics Canada’s employment data for the whole of Ontario, the province is now above pre-pandemic employment numbers, with 7.6 million Ontarians employed in total in December 2021. This is up 5.1 percent from 7.2 million in December 2020 when the province was in lockdown, but also up 2 percent from 7.5 million in December 2019 and up 5.2 percent from 7.2 million in December 2018.

The top-10 companies hiring in December 2021 compared to the previous month were as follows:

Graphic credit: Janice Nelson.

As noted in last month’s Labour Market Insights, we did see a drop in job postings across Ontario during the month of December, largely because the holiday shopping season concluded and employers typically hold off on the recruitment process for any open positions until after the new year begins. We do see some companies in the Wholesale and Retail Trade sector in the top-10 hiring companies have increased hiring, while some have decreased. Employment in the sector province-wide, however, is above pre-pandemic levels, with 1,147,000 employed in the Wholesale and Retail Trade sector in December 2021. This is up 8.9 percent from 1,053,000 in December 2020, up 4.9 percent from 1,093,500 in December 2019, and up 7.4 percent from 1,068,400 in December 2018.

For more information about Workforce WindsorEssex and their valuable LMI, please visit workforcewindsoressex.com.