
The biggest threat to Ukraine now is a distracted West
Although the success has been impressive, it leaves two concerns for Ukrainians going forward: an exhausted army and a distracted West.
Although the success has been impressive, it leaves two concerns for Ukrainians going forward: an exhausted army and a distracted West.
For Russia, victory on the battlefield and in the war itself remains a gamble and is not certain by any stretch. Russia needs a rare quality in war, and one that it has lacked to date: luck.
Russia’s strategic objective is to take Ukraine and replace its government. Ukraine’s objective is to hold its territory including Crimea and the Donbas. Neither power is there yet.
The danger for the West is that the crisis continues to erode confidence in NATO, the EU, and the Liberal Democratic rules-based order that has existed since the Second World War.
Putin is prepared to invade Ukraine at the expense of the U.S., NATO, and the EU. Only western military pushback will make a difference.
Russian military buildups in strategic positions indicate that an invasion of Ukrainian territory is imminent as Russia looks to restore the borders of the Soviet Empire and undermine NATO.
Sitting on our hands waiting for a Chinese invasion of Taiwan to take place ensures Taipei’s ultimate defeat. Canada and other Western democracies need to engage China now.
Far afield from next week’s speech from the throne and mainstream media attention is a major developing situation in Ukraine that will have far-reaching consequences for global geopolitics.
Over the coming days, The Hub will publish mandate letters for the incoming cabinet ministers that set out a series of bold policy prescriptions that would cumulatively tilt Canadian politics…