The Week in Polling: The capital gains hike, increased immigration, the Munk Debate on antisemitism, and the impact of Trump’s conviction on voters

Analysis

Republican presidential candidate former President Donald Trump at a campaign event, June 18, 2024, in Racine, Wis. AP Photo/Jeffrey Phelps

Nearly half of Canadians think the number of legal immigrants coming to the country should decrease

In 2022, more than 437,000 new permanent residents, along with more than 604,000 temporary workers, relocated to Canada alone. We have been the top country for refugee resettlement globally and have held this title for at least the last four years, welcoming more than 46,528 refugees from over 80 countries in 2022.

According to Research Co. polling, 44 percent of Canadians believe that immigration has a mostly negative effect on Canada. This is opposed to the 42 percent who think immigration has a positive effect and the 14 percent who are not sure of its impact.

Douglas Murray and Natasha Hausdorff win Munk Debate, arguing anti-Zionism is antisemitism

Douglas Murray, a British author, journalist, and political commentator, and Natasha Hausdorff, the director of UK Lawyers for Israel, bested Mehdi Hasan, a British-American journalist and founder of the new media platform Zeteo, and Gideon Levy, an Israeli journalist for Haaretz. Murray and Hausdorff argued on the pro side of the motion, “Be it resolved: anti-Zionism is antisemitism,” while Hasan and Levy argued against it.

Murray and Hausdorff swung the vote by five percent their way, winning 66 percent of the sold-out crowd at Toronto’s famed Roy Thomson Hall. Some topics discussed in the debate included pro-Palestinian protests on North American college and university campuses, what qualifies as acceptable criticism of the Israeli government, and the tragic events of October 7th, the deadliest terrorist attack by the number of fatalities per capita since at least 1970, carried out by the Gaza-based terrorist organization Hamas.

Half of Americans think Trump’s money laundering conviction is an unimportant factor in their voting decision

Former U.S. President Donald Trump was found guilty of 34 felony counts of falsifying business records in a New York court. Almost half of American voters see his conviction as “not at all important” or “not very important” when deciding who to cast their ballots for in the 2024 presidential election.

Trump and his Democrat opponent, President Joe Biden, are neck and neck in the latest polls ahead of their first televised debate next Thursday. However, a new projection by poll aggregator 538 has favoured Biden to beat Trump in the upcoming election. In 538’s most recent simulations, Biden wins the presidency 50 times out of 100, whereas Trump wins 49. Although, earlier last week, the same simulations had Trump beating Biden 51 times to 49.

Aiden Muscovitch

Aiden Muscovitch is a student at the University of Toronto studying Ethics, Society and Law. He is The Hub's Assistant Editor. He…

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