The Week in Polling: Young Canadians want to become Americans; No level of government is fixing our housing crisis; Trump’s 51st state threat is igniting Canadian pride
Analysis25 January 2025
President Donald Trump hugs the American flag at the Conservative Political Action Conference in 2019. Carolyn Kaster/AP Photo.
President Donald Trump hugs the American flag at the Conservative Political Action Conference in 2019. Carolyn Kaster/AP Photo.
This is The Week in Polling, your Saturday dose of interesting numbers from top pollsters in Canada and around the world, curated by The Hub. Here’s what we’re looking at this week.
Four in ten young Canadians want to be American, if citizenship and conversion of assets to USD was guaranteed
Source: Ipsos
A recent Ipsos poll found that over 40 percent of Canadians between the ages of 18 and 34 would vote for Canada to become the 51st American state, if the U.S. offered all Canadians full U.S. citizenship, a full conversion of the Canadian dollar, and all their personal financial assets to converted into U.S. dollars.
Among Canadians between the ages of 35 and 54, 33 percent would vote for Canada to become the 51st state. The least enthused were older Canadians. Seventeen percent of those over the age of 55 would also vote for Canada to become the 51st state. Overall, 31 percent of Canadians would vote for the annexation of Canada under those circumstances.
When asked whether they would vote to make Canada part of the U.S.—without specifying any perks—just under 80 percent of Canadians aged 18 to 54 and nearly 90 percent of those over 55 said they would not consider it.
Trump said in a briefing last week in North Carolina that one of the other perks he would offer Canadians is “a very big tax cut—a tremendous tax cut—because [Canadians] are very highly taxed.” He even went so far as to say that Canadians would “have much better health coverage,” if Canada were to become the 51st state.
Over 60 percent of Canadians say no level of government is doing enough on housing About 68 percent of Canadians believe the federal government is not doing enough to address housing affordability, while only 17 percent think it is. At the provincial level, 65 percent of respondents feel their government is not doing enough and 18 percent believe it is. At the municipal level, 62 percent of respondents say their municipal government is not addressing housing affordability adequately, while 19 percent think it is. Across the board, more than 60 percent of Canadians believe that no level of government has done an adequate job addressing the housing affordability crisis. As of last month, the average price of a home in Canada was $676,640, a 3 percent increase over the last 12 months. The average home price in Ontario was $834,123, less than in British Columbia ($1,013,556) and more than in Quebec ($510,884). Over the last 12 months, Ontario’s average home price decreased by 2.3 percent, B.C.’s increased by 5 percent, and Quebec’s increased by 9.2 percent. Toronto’s average home price in December 2024 was $1,067,186, down 1.6 percent over the last 12 months, while Greater Vancouver’s was $1,275,672, up 2.5 percent annually. In Montreal, the average home price hit $620,644 in December 2024, amounting to a 5.8 percent annual increase. Donald Trump’s comments about Canada becoming the U.S.’s 51st state spark Canadian pride Reiterating his proposal to bring the Great White North into the American fold, this week President Trump delivered stern remarks at the World Economic Forum about Canada’s trade situation with the U.S. “Canada. We have a tremendous deficit with Canada. We’re not going to have that anymore. We can’t do it … As you probably know, I say, ‘You can always become a state, and if you’re a state, we won’t have a deficit. We won’t have to tariff you,'” he told the crowd. Trump’s offers to annex Canada, however, may have not achieved his intended consequences. In fact, over 70 percent of Canadians between the ages of 18 and 34 agree that his comments have strengthened their pride in Canada, and their belief that the country must keep its independence from the U.S. Among Canadians between the ages of 35 and 55, 76 percent share this sentiment. Meanwhile, 83 percent of Canadians over the age of 55 also agree that Trump’s comments have reinforced their pride and commitment to maintaining our sovereignty. Trump threatened to impose a 25 percent blanket tariff on Canada as early as February 1st, a few weeks after his initial deadline of January 20th, which was his first day back in the White House. Beyond increasing Canadian pride, Trump’s tariff threats have created a turbulent time in Canadian politics. Most recently, Ontario Premier Doug Ford, who recently wore a hat embroidered with “Canada is not for sale,” has confirmed he will call an election for February 27th. A recent Mainstreet poll found that 23 percent of Canadians think Ford has been Canada’s best face in negotiations with the U.S., more than any other politician in the country, and more than businessman Kevin O’Leary.
Aiden Muscovitch is a student at the University of Toronto studying Ethics, Society and Law. He is The Hub’s Assistant Editor. He has also worked as an intern for Conservative Member of Parliament and Shadow Minister for Foreign Affairs Michael Chong.