Election 2025

Ben Woodfinden: The Conservatives lost, but the Poilievre coalition is only growing stronger

Sometime in mid-February 2022, I found myself having trouble sleeping. So I did what I often used to do; I got up and started putting onto paper a few thoughts that had been floating around in my head. The resulting piece, titled “Going after Canada’s elite gatekeepers could be a winning strategy for the next Conservative leader,” made the case for a broad new coalition and messaging strategy for a Poilievre-led Conservative party.

Theo Argitis: Did the Boomer agenda win the 2025 election?

David Coletto

David Coletto: From scarcity to precarity—The mindset shift that rewrote Canada’s 2025 election

How well did forecasters predict the Canadian election—and what’s next?

Zachary Siewert

Eric Kaufmann: The Americanization of Canadian politics

Eric Kaufmann

A polarized, two-party political landscape is becoming the norm

The Week in Polling: The Liberals win the election; Poilievre and Singh lose their seats; Conservatives stole blue collar workers from the NDP

Think Tank: Canadian students voted for a Conservative minority

Taylor Jackson

Greg Brady: I ran for office for the first time—and lost. Here’s what it’s like

Greg Brady

‘He’s trying to have his cake and eat it too’: The Roundtable on what to expect from Prime Minister Carney’s new government

‘It just couldn’t be uglier’: David Frum on the first 100 days of Trump’s second term and the outcome of the Canadian federal election

Élie Cantin-Nantel: The Conservatives need to axe their failed media strategy

The Conservative leader must engage more with independent journalists

John Ibbitson: The Laurentian elite strikes back

Was this federal election the last gasp of the Laurentian elite?

Howard Anglin: Canada’s two new solitudes: Notes from an election

Howard Anglin

Bryan Breguet: Canada’s changing voter coalitions is the real story of this election

Bryan Breguet

The CPC may have lost, but the voter realignment along racial lines is a positive trend for the party’s future

Ed Fast: Don’t expect a honeymoon, Liberals

Ed Fast

Here are six urgent priorities for Mark Carney’s first year in office

Darrell Bricker: Victory without unity

Darrell Bricker

‘Buckle up, baby’: Rick Bell on how Prime Minister Carney’s relationship with Premier Smith will decide Alberta’s future in Canada

Canada’s New Era: What business leaders and economists are saying about Mark Carney’s minority mandate

‘We’ve given Trump just what he wanted’: The Hub reacts to a dramatic Canadian federal election

‘The Conservatives will ultimately benefit’: The Hub reacts to a dramatic Canadian federal election

‘Be careful what you wish for’: Andrew Coyne on what the federal election results mean for the future of Canadian politics

‘He’s gone from zero to hero in 90 days’: The Roundtable breaks down Carney’s win and the rest of the Canadian election results

Sean Speer: Mark Carney’s win will add more uncertainty

‘I think we are at a breaking point in this country’: Darrell Bricker on the national unity question moving from Quebec to Alberta

‘It’s pretty astonishing’: Ginny Roth on the close of Canada’s unexpected campaign period and what to expect on election night

Owen Guo: I’ve spent my life in authoritarian China. Here’s why I’m voting in a Canadian election for the first time

Owen Guo

David Polansky: Canada on the brink

David Polansky

John Ibbitson: The forked road Canadian voters face on election day

Élie Cantin-Nantel: The polls vs. the people: Notes on a bipolar Conservative campaign

<Here's what I saw on the road with the Conservative Party campaign

Theo Argitis: How Mark Carney made his crisis message stick

Here's what I saw on the final days of the Liberal Party campaign

This B.C. candidate was barred by the Conservative Party, now he may beat them as an Independent

Brad Epperly: Canada is facing many crises—our lost economic decade is by far the biggest

Brad Epperly

The Weekly Wrap: The pros and cons of Poilievre and Carney

The Notebook with Theo Argitis: The Trudeau Consensus lives on

No matter who wins, Justin Trudeau’s legacy still looms large in Canadian politics

The Week in Polling: Liberals slightly ahead in national polls; Conservatives ahead in Ontario; Nearly half of Canadians plan to vote on election day

‘It will be a landslide’: Poilievre rallygoers in Saskatoon confident he will win election in spite of polls

‘The status quo has not been disrupted’: The Roundtable breaks down the good, the bad, and the ugly of the 2025 election

‘The race is tightening up’: Darrell Bricker on what the polls are showing heading into the final weekend of the election campaign

Derrick Hunter: Canada can no longer afford to indulge in net-zero nonsense

Derrick Hunter

Peter Tertzakian: Want to get pipelines built? Let Canadians own a piece of the action

Peter Tertzakian

What would it take for Canadians to feel like they actually own the energy economy?

Travis Toews: Canada needs a leader who takes economic growth seriously—and that requires being all in on energy investment

Travis Toews

Is Mark Carney misleading Canadians?

The Conservatives can’t just win more votes to win the election—they have to win a lot more votes

David Coletto

‘It looked a lot like an elite moral panic’: The Full Press on the journalist brawl at the English leaders’ debate

‘Crooks, crackpots, cowards’: David Frum on the Trump administration chaos consuming American foreign and economic policy

‘It will make for an exciting election day’: Ginny Roth on the Conservative campaign strategy heading into the final days of the election

Need to Know: Win or lose, the new Conservative coalition is very different

Seniru Ruwanpura: I’m a Gen Z voter. Here’s why I’m voting Conservative—and why you Boomers should too

Seniru Ruwanpura

Need to Know: Are we entering the era of two-party politics in Canada?

The Hub's election 2025 roundup

‘The shakedown of the political parties by big media has succeeded’: Peter Menzies on the Liberal and Conservative support for media subsidies

‘I can commit to that’: Poilievre vows to keep government subsidies for local media outlets

‘The era of a free, independent, trusted media in Canada is finished’: Peter Menzies on Liberal and Conservative support for continuing media subsidies

‘There’s still a lot to be played for here’: Darrell Bricker on why there’s still plenty of uncertainty around the election’s outcome

David Mulroney: In the midst of Trump’s Trade War, Canada must not take its eye off enemy number one: China

David Mulroney

Breaking down the big numbers in the Conservative Party policy platform

‘Any kind of certainty is a negative for the Canadian economy’: Trevor Tombe on the Liberals’ fiscal platform

‘These are dramatic increases in projected deficits’: Trevor Tombe on the Liberal platform and the risk of unsustainable fiscal policy

‘Older demographics are far more accessible to reach’: Joseph Lavoie on how the digital campaigns are impacting the election

‘The debate hasn’t fundamentally altered the race’: David Coletto on where the polling sits heading into the final week of the campaign

Sean Speer: The good (and the bad) in the Conservative Party platform

Get ready for bigger deficits and even more debt no matter who wins

Need to Know: The Liberals’ haven’t changed—the copy-and-paste platform proves it

The Hub's election 2025 roundup

John Lester: Canada’s next government must prioritize fixing our productivity problem

John Lester

‘We’re seeing about an 80 percent chance of a Liberal government’: Zachary Siewert on trying to predict the Canadian election and the differences between forecasting and polling

Trevor Tombe: The Liberal platform walks away from the party’s own fiscal commitments

Trevor Tombe

‘This is about two parties with very different visions’: Ginny Roth on the Liberal platform and why it’s a doubling down of the Trudeau approach to government

Mark Carney wants to phase out oil and gas—just how much would that cost Canada?

Livio Di Matteo

Peter Menzies: Vote wisely, Canada—the fate of the free press depends on the outcome of this election

Peter Menzies

Joanna Baron: Mark Carney claims to care about civil liberties. His record says otherwise

Joanna Baron

The Notebook with Theo Argitis: The top three economic challenges facing Canada’s next government

The Week in Polling: Canadians split on debate winner; Carney’s lead begins to shrink; Conservative voters motivated by hope, Liberals by fear

‘I haven’t forgotten about you’: Ten key quotes from the English-language leaders’ debate

‘Pierre Poilievre met the moment’: The Roundtable on the importance of this week’s debates and why the Leaders’ Debates Commission needs to go

Poilievre and Blanchet stood tall, Carney and Singh fell flat: The Hub community reacts to the English-language leaders’ debate

Zachary Siewert

The Hub breaks down who won the English leaders’ debate and how it impacts the election

The Weekly Wrap: Pierre Poilievre finally finds his stride—was his strong debate showing enough to turn the tide?

John Ibbitson: Pierre Poilievre didn’t decisively win the leaders’ debate—but Mark Carney likely lost it

Élie Cantin-Nantel: Poilievre was poised and Carney lacked charisma: A francophone’s take on the French-language leaders’ debate

‘There was no knockout punch’: Jean Philippe Fournier on a lacklustre French-language leaders’ debate

‘The power to impose tariffs at will needs to be removed from Trump’: David Frum on Trump’s disregard of the courts and how the trade war tremors will affect the U.S. economy

David Frum

Need to Know: Carney tried to distance himself from Trudeau during the French-language debate. It’s a hard case to make

The Hub's election 2025 roundup

Harrison Lowman: It’s time for Conservatives to grow up and show up at local debates

Harrison Lowman

‘There’s so much uncertainty out there’: Theo Argitis on the Bank of Canada’s interest rate announcement and the possibility of a recession

‘The debates could be consequential’: David Coletto on the tightening race ahead of the leaders’ debates

‘There’s a signal that this race is tightening up’: David Coletto on polls showing a drop in the Liberal lead

Rudyard Griffiths: If there’s one thing Canadians agree on after this election, let it be this

Rudyard Griffiths

This should be the last election for the government-organized Leaders’ Debates Commission

‘The first time we’ll see Carney and Poilievre up against each other’: Amanda Galbraith on what to expect from the upcoming leaders’ debates

‘He’s not changing capes’: Philippe Lagassé on the caretaker convention and Carney’s dual role as Liberal leader and prime minister

‘Others have commented that this whole thing is a mirage’: Parliamentary expert Philippe Lagassé on the caretaker convention and how much Carney should be allowed to act as PM during the election

‘There’s a danger in being too sharp’: Three party operatives share the behind the scenes of debate prep and what to expect from this week’s federal leaders’ debates

Sean Speer: Mark Carney owes voters a clear answer on his plans for Canada’s oil and gas sector

Carney has long been anti-oil and gas development. Why should Canadians believe his doublespeak now?

‘A really phenomenal price mistake’: Ron Butler on the looming condo market crisis and the importance of housing as a federal election issue

‘Now all the chickens have come home to roost’: Ron Butler on why the GTA condo market collapse is the biggest overlooked issue of the federal election

‘Totally inappropriate and uncalled for’: Ginny Roth on Doug Ford’s untimely criticisms of the federal Conservative campaign

Matthew Holmes: Canada, it’s time to headhunt some Americans

Matthew Holmes

Need to Know: The Liberals are ensnared by dirty politics

The Hub's election 2025 roundup

Jordan Brennan: Canada’s financial sector regulation delivers stability—but at what cost?

Jordan Brennan

‘The Liberals have had a wobble over the last week’: Darrell Bricker on what’s behind the tightening polls

Rudyard Griffiths: This week’s leaders’ debates mark a new low for our democracy

Rudyard Griffiths

Canada’s democracy grows dimmer with another round of government-organized leaders’ debates

Would a Mark Carney win push Western separatism into the mainstream?

The Notebook: Consider it a win if it’s just a mild recession, Canada

Theo Argitis' weekly economic rundown

The Weekly Wrap: What’s the point of Confederation in Mark Carney’s vision for Canada?

The Think Tank: This election leaves a lot to be desired on economic growth

Taylor Jackson

The Week in Polling: Canadians think Trump is trying to influence our election; CPC ahead with young voters but struggling with old voters; Nearly half of Canadians want next PM to bring stability rather than change

‘What’s worrying is a return to one-party rule’: The Roundtable on what happens if the Liberals once again win big

Richard Shimooka: Switching from the American to the European defence market sounds good—but it’s a terrible idea in practice

Richard Shimooka

Doing so would leave Canada’s military and economy much worse off

‘This was a crisis that was coming’: Janice Gross-Stein on the continued U.S.-China trade war and the practical issues of de-globalization

‘The longer this campaign goes on, Mark Carney’s favourables keep improving’: David Coletto on how Canadians’ attitudes towards the leaders are crystallizing as the campaign continues

Fred DeLorey: Why are so many troublesome candidates being dropped? How political parties protect themselves from these ‘million-dollar mistakes’

Fred DeLorey

Royce Koop: Don’t expect the debates to save you, Conservatives

Royce Koop

Why Conservatives should rein in their expectations for the upcoming leaders’ debates

Are the Liberals’ on track to win big? Here’s what the betting markets and forecasting platforms are predicting

Zachary Siewert

Forecasting the Canadian election

‘The tariffs are probably going to trigger a recession’: Ian Lee on the continued fallout from Trump’s tariff uncertainty

‘They resent the fact that their money is being taken and in return they get abused’: The Full Press on the CBC’s budget being nearly doubled by a potential Carney government

‘If things are going to shift they have to shift in the next seven days’: Amanda Galbraith on the state of the NDP campaign and how the Conservatives can turn their fortunes around

Need to Know: Canada still doesn’t care about foreign policy

The Hub's election 2025 roundup

Need to Know: Mark Carney owes Canadians some answers

The Hub's election 2025 roundup

Luke Smith: How seriously should we be taking Pierre Poilievre’s rallies?

Luke Smith

‘One of the most self-defeating tactical moves in history’: David Frum on Donald Trump’s obsession with tariffs and America’s increasing isolation on the world stage

‘The most serious threat in 100 years’: Janice Gross-Stein on the deterioration of the China-U.S. relationship and the dangers for Canada

‘This has moved from a campaign of change to a campaign of leadership’: Darrell Bricker on where things stand at the mid-point of the election and why the Conservatives are behind

‘The moment the Chinese-American relationship broke apart’: Janice Gross-Stein on the significant trade war escalations between the U.S. and China

‘Trump’s threats should not be ‘another excuse for Liberal failure’: Eight key quotes from Stephen Harper’s speech at Pierre Poilievre’s massive Edmonton rally

‘The West doesn’t feel included’: Kirk LaPointe on how B.C. and Western Canada are feeling about the federal election

Legacy media won’t commit to disclosing government-mandated payments during election

‘If the race doesn’t shift, we’re getting a Liberal government on election day’: Ginny Roth on Carney’s steady polling lead

Need to Know: Don’t take the polls too seriously

The Hub's election 2025 roundup

Peter Menzies: Mark Carney’s plan for the CBC would be a disaster for Canadian media

Peter Menzies

‘A massive assault on global trade’: David Rosenberg on the market reactions to Trump’s tariffs

‘An assault on a $33 trillion animal called global trade’: David Rosenberg on the market uncertainty that has come with Trump’s tariffs

Jack M. Mintz: Conservative proposed capital gains tax rollover could spur $12.5 billion in investment

Jack M. Mintz

Adam Zivo: Let’s not forget about Canada’s drug and crime epidemics this election

Adam Zivo

The Liberals’ reckless drug policies have endangered lives and harmed Canadian sovereignty

Theo Argitis: Election 2025 is the most consequential campaign since 1984

With the global order being remade in real-time, whoever wins has the responsibility of setting Canada’s next economic course

Wodek Szemberg: Understanding the NDP’s identity crisis

Wodek Szemberg

Daniel Dufort: The politics of fearmongering will get us nowhere

Daniel Dufort

Canada’s politicians should take a deep breath before doing more damage than necessary in response to Trump’s tariffs

John Ibbitson: Poilievre’s critics are dead wrong. We do, in fact, need to talk about family fertility

The Week in Polling: Conservative voters may be the most committed; Nearly 70 percent of Canadians want Carney to release his financials before election; Conservatives winning over voters who didn’t vote in last election

The Weekly Wrap: The New Democrats are a party without a purpose

‘This is a five-alarm fire right now’: The Roundtable on the state of the Conservative campaign after week two

‘This is much worse than any economist was expecting’: Joseph Steinberg on the market reaction to Trump’s latest tariffs

‘I don’t envy Pierre Poilievre’s position’: James Moore on the difficulties the Conservatives are facing this election

‘A vote for Carney is a vote to trigger a secession movement in Western Canada’: Preston Manning on why a Carney government would fuel Western separatism

‘The liberal democratic world order is under attack’: Darrell Bricker on Canadians’ changing attitudes to free trade in the face of Trump’s tariffs

Need to Know: Beware the bait-and-switch of campaign promises

The Hub's election 2025 roundup

Élie Cantin-Nantel: Why Gen Z is embracing Poilievre as Boomers turn to Carney

‘Canada is facing tariffs much lower than the rest of the world’: Theo Argitis on Canada dodging the worst of Trump’s latest tariffs

Book Reviews

Yuan Yi Zhu: Mark Carney’s values could remake Canada—so what are they?

Yuan Yi Zhu

Is there a “there” there when it comes to Canada’s newest PM? I just read his 600-page book and still have no idea

‘I don’t think it changes very much’: Darrell Bricker on how Canada avoiding Trump’s latest global tariffs affect the election

Need to Know: Trump’s ‘Liberation Day’ marks the end of the global free trade era

The Hub's election 2025 roundup

Trevor Tombe: There’s a lot we can learn from Canada’s last trade-war election

Trevor Tombe

The 1930 election also centered around a trade war with the U.S. Here's what happened

‘It’s the destruction of American leadership’: David Frum breaks down Donald Trump’s ‘Liberation Day’ tariffs plan

David Frum

‘It doesn’t put out the fire, it makes it worse’: Ian Lee on why retaliatory tariffs aren’t the answer to Canada’s trade war woes

‘We must get to the negotiating table’: Ian Lee on why Canada’s response to Trump’s ‘Liberation Day’ should not include retaliatory tariffs

‘This is a real crisis in our country’: Amanda Galbraith on why Poilievre is right to worry about family fertility

‘They seem to have been caught flatfooted by the Trump phenomenon’: Andrew Coyne on the federal election race

Trump’s ‘Liberation Day’ tariffs bring retaliation into election campaign

‘It’s been a jarring experience’: Ryan Hastman on how Alberta is reacting to Carney’s rise and Poilievre’s polling dip

‘They seem to have been caught flatfooted by the Trump phenomenon’: Andrew Coyne on the federal election race and the future of Canadian conservatism

‘Anybody who thinks this is over–don’t’: Darrell Bricker on the Liberals’ polling lead and what to expect in week two of the election

Michael Kempa: Not expelling Chiang sooner was Mark Carney’s first big mistake

Michael Kempa

Carney’s baffling decision to drag this episode out could very well pierce his early soaring campaign

Need to Know: Donald Trump wants Mark Carney to win. We should be asking why

The Hub's election 2025 roundup

Kelden Formosa: Pierre Poilievre is not Donald Trump—here’s how he can make that distinction clear

Kelden Formosa

Why a speech at Queenston Heights in Niagara could help bring older voters back to the CPC

Rudyard Griffiths and Sean Speer

Rudyard Griffiths and Sean Speer: Mainstream media can’t have their cake and eat it too when it comes to public subsidies

Canada’s media is fast losing its credibility, one undisclosed subsidy at a time

‘Our economic productivity flatlined 10 years ago’: Philip Deck on how the Conservative plan for the capital gains tax favours investment over consumption

‘Boomers are the Liberal saviours’: David Coletto on the demographics voting Liberal versus Conservative

‘The Canadians are not being thrown out any time soon’: Richard Kerbaj on whether Trump will kick Canada out of the Five Eyes

‘Quite shocking’: Ginny Roth on Mark Carney’s refusal to dump troublesome Toronto candidate who suggested turning over CPC opponent to China

Eric Lombardi: Canadians are ready to build—what about our leaders?

Eric Lombardi

Which party is going to embrace our country’s potential and go all-in on a growth agenda?

Brian Lee Crowley: The best response to Trump is to not lose our heads—and to keep our powder dry

Brian Lee Crowley

Whether we like it or not, there is no alternative to deep dependence on the U.S.

David Coletto: Avoiding the Trump trap—Why the Conservatives might want to keep ‘change’ as the election focus

David Coletto

Philip Deck: Canada needs its own domestic drone strategy if it wants to be serious about defence

Philip Deck

The Week in Polling: Views of Carney are improving fast; Young Canadians favour Conservatives on affordability as older Canadians favour Liberals to combat Trump

The Think Tank: Only Boomers are really concerned about Trump this election

Taylor Jackson

The Weekly Wrap: Can the Conservatives find a counter for Carney’s vibes-based appeal?

‘We’re not going to win a trade war with the U.S.’: Theo Argitis on the risk of using retaliatory tariffs to fund campaign spending promises

‘On Trump and trade, Carney and the Liberals own the issue’: Darrell Bricker on how Carney secured an early election lead

Sean Speer: Trump’s tariffs are set to upend Canada’s anti-climactic election campaign

The parties should respond to the tariffs with much more ambitious policies than they’ve released so far

Theo Argitis: How Trump’s tariffs are inflating Canada’s election promises

Rudyard Griffiths and Sean Speer

In the middle of an election, The Hub received $22,000 thanks to Liberal legislation and is donating an amount equivalent to it all to charity from its general revenues—will the rest of the news media disclose what they’re getting?

To protect its editorial independence, The Hub will donate an amount equivalent to all of the subsidies it is entitled to under the Online News Act to charity, from its general revenues

‘People are feeling absolutely stuck’: Mike Moffatt on the Conservatives’ plan to eliminate GST on new homes

‘Too many people, too few homes’: Mike Moffatt on how housing and declining happiness could shape the election

‘It raises some questions about trust’: The Full Press on journalists becoming politicians

‘The Conservatives could lose an election and get 40 percent of the vote’: David Coletto on the threat of Donald Trump versus the desire for change

‘The Conservatives cannot run a frontrunner campaign’: Ginny Roth on Poilievre and the CPC’s early campaign strategy

‘They were lying and lying and lying’: David Frum on the Trump administration’s ongoing national security scandal

David Frum

Trevor Tombe: Duelling tax cuts from the Liberals and Conservatives improve family budgets—but do little for the economy

Trevor Tombe

Need to Know: This election is a showdown between old versus young

The Hub's election 2025 roundup

‘The Liberals want you to keep thinking about Donald Trump’: David Coletto on what’s top of mind for Canadian voters this election campaign

Exclusive polling for The Hub

‘It matters for a governing coalition’: Brian Dijkema on CPC support in the labour movement

The Week in Polling: The Liberals inch ahead while the New Democrats collapse; Canadians want a PM who can manage Trump

John Ibbitson: Carney and Poilievre are trying to sideline the media. It’s not going to work

Journalism is still going to make an impact in this election

‘A meaningful amount for most families’: Trevor Tombe on the duelling tax cut plans from the Liberals and Conservatives

‘A classic protect the king campaign’: Amanda Galbraith on election media strategies and the importance of defining the ballot box question

Need to Know: Canada’s lost economic decade is the election focus so far—and that’s a good thing

The Hub's election 2025 roundup

Federal Conservatives have struggled to win in Quebec. Can Pierre Poilievre change that?

Peter Menzies: Canada’s (formerly) free press get set to cover an election

Peter Menzies

‘Time and money against a ticking clock’: Ginny Roth and Darrell Bricker discuss the campaign approaches of Carney and Poilievre

‘Who’s voting for the Liberal Party? Old people’: Darrell Bricker on whether this will be a political realignment election

Derrick Hunter: The most important Canadian election ever

Derrick Hunter

Theo Argitis: How Mark Carney would govern Canada

What to expect if Carney is elected prime minister

This is an election for the history books

What to expect for The Hub's election coverage

Sean Speer: Donald Trump isn’t the biggest threat to Canada—the looming national unity crisis is